Hannu Hökkä , Virpi Alenius, Hannu Salminen

Kunnostusojitustarpeen ennustaminen ojitusalueilla

Hökkä H., Alenius V., Salminen H. Kunnostusojitustarpeen ennustaminen ojitusalueilla.

Tiivistelmä

Logistic regression models were developed to predict the condition of ditch networks in drained peatland sites in Finland. The data consisted of observations from two forest inventories in which the need for ditch network maintenance had been assessed in the field by classifying the condition of the ditches in the sample stands. In the analysis an indicator variable which referred to one of two condition categories (in need of repair – not in need of repair) was used as the response variable. According to the results, the probability of being in the poor condition category was higher in sites where the time elapsed since drainage was longer, the geographic location was more northern, peat thickness was greater, and plot inclination was smaller. At a probability level of 0.5, the models predicted the category correctly in 69% of the sites in the modeling data, on average. The models were applied to a growth simulator to study the effect of poor drainage conditions on stand-level growth forecasts.

Avainsanat
forest drainage; ditch network maintenance; logistic regression; site

Vastaanotettu 31.10.2017 Julkaistu 1.1.2000

Katselukerrat 3744

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